Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Reggiana
31.9%
Draw
36.1%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Reggiana
vs
1.13
Brescia
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).