Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Numancia
26.1%
Draw
33.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Numancia
vs
1.22
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).