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AHT: 01

25 Jan 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Freiburg
20.7%
Draw
57.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Freiburg

vs
2.32

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.1%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).