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27 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Ulm
29.4%
Draw
28.6%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Ulm

vs
1.09

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).