Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Sunderland
36.4%
Draw
30.8%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Sunderland
vs
0.89
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.0%
1-1
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).