Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Vizela
24.5%
Draw
26.3%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Vizela
vs
1.04
Chaves
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).