Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Sporting Gijón
25.2%
Draw
27.0%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.09
Andorra
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).