Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Nott'm Forest
24.1%
Draw
15.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.81
QPR
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).