Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Aris
16.4%
Draw
10.7%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Aris
vs
0.77
Brest
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).