Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Lugo
34.1%
Draw
46.5%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Lugo
vs
1.02
Leganes
Markets
BTTS26.6%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.546.1%
Over 2.520.7%
Over 3.57.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.5%
0-0
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-3
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
2-2
1.6%
0-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).