Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Buxton
20.8%
Draw
38.7%
Thatcham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Buxton
vs
1.87
Thatcham Town
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).