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HHT: 20CSV

28 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.1%
Fleetwood Town
26.4%
Draw
35.5%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.18

Walsall

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).