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25 Jul 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Kalmar
22.3%
Draw
60.9%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Kalmar

vs
2.12

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
0-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).