Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
SK Rapid
29.4%
Draw
37.2%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
SK Rapid
vs
1.25
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).