Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Accrington
20.4%
Draw
63.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Accrington
vs
1.83
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).