Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Lecco
27.7%
Draw
49.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Lecco
vs
1.57
Spezia
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).