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AHT: 02CSV

02 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Istanbulspor
24.5%
Draw
64.4%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Istanbulspor

vs
2.06

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).