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31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Grimsby
27.0%
Draw
39.8%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Grimsby

vs
1.22

Bradford

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).