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15 Dec 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.3%
Cittadella
32.4%
Draw
35.3%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Cittadella

vs
1.09

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).