Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Southend
25.4%
Draw
24.0%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Southend
vs
0.85
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).