Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Cartagena
24.7%
Draw
42.8%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cartagena
vs
1.53
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).