Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Schalke 04
29.4%
Draw
22.8%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Schalke 04
vs
0.91
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).