Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Spartak Moskva
25.6%
Draw
19.1%
Rubin Kazan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.99
Rubin Kazan
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).