Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Genoa
21.4%
Draw
18.8%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Genoa
vs
0.98
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).