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AHT: 02CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Bolton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.5%
Wycombe
26.9%
Draw
28.6%
Bolton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Wycombe

vs
0.92

Bolton

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).