Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
M'gladbach
30.6%
Draw
32.1%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
M'gladbach
vs
1.07
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).