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28 Nov 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Regensburg
30.6%
Draw
39.0%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Regensburg

vs
1.25

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).