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03 Nov 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Halmstad
23.5%
Draw
64.7%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Halmstad

vs
1.87

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).