Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.3%
Alfreton Town
5.5%
Draw
92.2%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Alfreton Town
vs
3.84
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.581.5%
Over 3.564.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
11.6%
0-4
11.1%
0-2
9.1%
0-5
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
1-4
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
1-5
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-3
1.8%
2-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).