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23 Nov 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Juve Stabia
32.4%
Draw
26.9%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Juve Stabia

vs
0.90

Brescia

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).