Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Sheffield United
23.3%
Draw
15.0%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Sheffield United
vs
0.84
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).