Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Bielefeld
20.2%
Draw
9.9%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Bielefeld
vs
0.69
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).