Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Stoke
30.4%
Draw
35.1%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Stoke
vs
1.17
Norwich
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).