Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
St Etienne
18.9%
Draw
29.4%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
St Etienne
vs
1.83
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS76.5%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.9%
Over 3.561.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.7%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).