Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Bielefeld
30.8%
Draw
23.1%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Bielefeld
vs
0.83
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.1%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).