Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Cagliari
34.7%
Draw
27.4%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Cagliari
vs
0.83
Genoa
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).