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27 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Gateshead
25.6%
Draw
38.7%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Gateshead

vs
1.59

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).