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AHT: 02CSV

30 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Truro
27.6%
Draw
42.6%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Truro

vs
1.49

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).