Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Modena
33.4%
Draw
22.8%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Modena
vs
0.76
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.0%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).