Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Sporting Gijón
29.4%
Draw
43.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.20
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).