Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.5%
Barcelona
9.7%
Draw
4.8%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
Barcelona
vs
0.72
Girona
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
4-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
4.4%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).