⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
A

17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.2%
Bradford
42.4%
Draw
20.4%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Bradford

vs
0.43

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS17.2%
Over 0.567.7%
Over 1.530.6%
Over 2.510.4%
Over 3.52.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
32.3%
1-0
22.8%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
1-2
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
2-2
0.7%
0-3
0.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).