Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
29.8%
Draw
47.5%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.47
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).