Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
29.0%
Draw
36.2%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.30
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).