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AHT: 14CSV

13 Mar 2022 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Greuther Furth
20.5%
Draw
65.4%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Greuther Furth

vs
2.20

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).