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16 Dec 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
FeralpiSalo
24.3%
Draw
50.0%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

FeralpiSalo

vs
1.90

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).