Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Ponferradina
29.3%
Draw
47.4%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Ponferradina
vs
1.24
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).