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AHT: 01CSV

30 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Sutton
23.1%
Draw
50.3%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Sutton

vs
1.69

Bradford

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).