Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Fylde
23.0%
Draw
47.3%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Fylde
vs
2.01
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).