Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Bielefeld
32.6%
Draw
38.2%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Bielefeld
vs
1.08
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).